Tuesday, 23 October 2018
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WEATHER OUTLOOK  |  Tropical Depression Ramil (5PM)

PAGASA SCIENCE GARDEN, Quezon City (DWDD) – Tropical Depression “RAMIL” has Slightly Intensified and is now in the Vicinity of Calamian Group of Islands.

  Estimated rainfall amount is from moderate to occasionally heavy within the 200 km diameter of the Tropical Depression.
  Residents in areas under Tropical Cyclone Warning Signal (TCWS) #1 as well as over Central Luzon, Cagayan Valley Region and the northern portion of Quezon including Polillo island are alerted against possible landslides and flashfloods. Meanwhile, expect light to moderate with possible occasional heavy rains during thunderstorms over Metro Manila and the rest of Luzon
  Sea travel remains risky over the areas with TCWS #1, as well as the northern and eastern seaboard of Luzon due to the Tropical Depression and the surge of the Northeast Monsoon.
  “RAMIL” is expected to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility tomorrow evening or Friday early morning. 

Location of eye/center: At 4:00 PM today, the center of Tropical Depression “RAMIL” was estimated based on all available data at 25 km South of Coron, Palawan (11.8 °N, 120.2 °E)
Strength: Maximum sustained winds of 55 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 75 kph
Forecast Movement: Forecast to move West at 18 kph
Forecast Positions:

  24 Hour(Tomorrow afternoon): 245 km East Northeast of Pagasa Island, Palawan(12.0°N, 116.1°E)

  48 Hour(Friday afternoon):195 km West Northwest of Pagasa Island, Palawan (OUTSIDE PAR)(11.9°N, 112.6°E)

  72 Hour(Saturday afternoon): 545 km West of Pagasa Island, Palawan (OUTSIDE PAR)(11.8°N, 109.2°E)

TCWS Luzon Visayas Mindanao Impacts of the wind
(30-60kph expected in 36 hrs)
Northern Palawan including Calamian Group of Islands and Southern Occidental Mindoro ->Very light or no damage to high risk structures,
->Light damage to medium to low risk structures
->Slight damage to some houses of very light materials or makeshift structures in exposed communities. Some banana plants are tilted, a few downed and leaves are generally damaged
->Twigs of small trees may be broken.
->Rice crops, however, may suffer significant damage when it is in its flowering stage.
Wave Height: (Open Sea) 1.25-4.0 meters




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